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Middle Eastern leaders have learnt not to count on the US

The limits to American geopolitical reach now on show in Afghanistan could yet lead to new ways of wielding power

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Taliban victory signals a defeat for global jihadism

But western intervention has left countries trapped in despotism, making continued instability likely

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Shifting geopolitics offer glimmer of hope for Lebanon’s new government

The US withdrawal from the region could defuse the rivalries that have played out in the bankrupt state

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Behind the smiles, competition heats up in the Gulf

Aggressive moves by Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar to boost their economies could be a zero-sum game

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Autocracy has filled the ideological vacuum in the Middle East

Even Tunisia, once the cradle of democratic hope in the region, is moving towards one-man rule

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Recep Tayyip Erdogan meets his match in Biden and Putin

The Turkish ruler’s strongman tactics fail to work on the US and Russia

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To govern Iraq effectively, Moqtada al-Sadr must abandon factionalism

Sectarian politics have blighted the country, leaving voters disillusioned with their leaders

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Violence accelerates Lebanon’s descent into state failure

Clashes in Beirut bode ill for a country where Iran-backed Hizbollah flexes its muscles

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Erdogan’s wrath is damaging Turkey

Turkish president’s persecution of Osman Kavala is personal

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Rich Gulf patrons turn the screws on a bankrupt Lebanon

Saudi Arabia and its Sunni allies are losing patience with a state under the shadow of Iran and Hizbollah

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The future of Iraq is in the balance

An assassination attempt on the country’s prime minister has raised fresh questions about militias backed by Iran

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Muammer Gaddafi’s son returns to the political stage

Many Libyans may now wonder: to what conceivable question could Saif al-Islam be the answer?

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Arab leaders weigh normalising relations with Syria’s president

Bashar al-Assad is slowly being brought back into regional diplomatic society

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Nuclear negotiators in Vienna face struggle to resurrect Iran deal

Iranians across the spectrum came to regard the 2015 non-proliferation agreement as a swindle

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Jackals prowl the hills above the new US mega-embassy in Lebanon

The population is drifting away from crisis-hit Beirut, but America persists with its giant construction project

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Attack on Abu Dhabi risks upsetting a cautious detente in the Gulf

The drone hit shows how Yemen is starting to resemble Syria as a conflict able to radiate mayhem beyond its borders

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Saad Hariri’s retreat leaves a vacuum in Lebanon

The country is in economic meltdown, facing a ‘deliberate depression’ manufactured by warlords

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Missile attack on UAE shows Iran is unwilling to compromise

Tehran, boosted in confidence by China, is using Yemen to pursue its own agenda on Israel

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History may finally come knocking for Erdogan

Economic woes boost hopes for Turkey’s opposition to oust the country’s long-serving strongman president

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Pragmatism changes the dialogue in the Middle East

Tentative signs of previously unlikely partnerships emerge in trade, investment and diplomacy

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